It looks like the second part of what you’ve suggested is what’s happening:
If decaps > 0 but encaps = 0, then packets from the ASA side toward the Mikrotik are not being encapsulated by the ASA.
Here’s the output from the ASA, from that particular command:
Result of the command: “show crypto ipsec sa peer <REMOTE_PEER>”
peer address: <REMOTE_PEER>
Crypto map tag: outside_map, seq num: 2, local addr: <LOCAL_PEER>access-list outside_cryptomap_1 extended permit ip 10.0.0.0 255.255.255.0 192.168.16.0 255.255.255.0
local ident (addr/mask/prot/port): (10.0.0.0/255.255.255.0/0/0)
remote ident (addr/mask/prot/port): (192.168.16.0/255.255.255.0/0/0)
current_peer: <REMOTE_PEER>
#pkts encaps: 0, #pkts encrypt: 0, #pkts digest: 0
#pkts decaps: 12516, #pkts decrypt: 12516, #pkts verify: 12516
#pkts compressed: 0, #pkts decompressed: 0
#pkts not compressed: 0, #pkts comp failed: 0, #pkts decomp failed: 0
#pre-frag successes: 0, #pre-frag failures: 0, #fragments created: 0
#PMTUs sent: 0, #PMTUs rcvd: 0, #decapsulated frgs needing reassembly: 0
#TFC rcvd: 0, #TFC sent: 0
#Valid ICMP Errors rcvd: 0, #Invalid ICMP Errors rcvd: 0
#send errors: 0, #recv errors: 0local crypto endpt.: <LOCAL_PEER>/4500, remote crypto endpt.: <REMOTE_PEER>/4500
path mtu 1500, ipsec overhead 74(44), media mtu 1500
PMTU time remaining (sec): 0, DF policy: copy-df
ICMP error validation: disabled, TFC packets: disabled
current outbound spi: 045D8340
current inbound spi : 54875E84inbound esp sas:
spi: 0x54875E84 (1418157700)
SA State: active
transform: esp-aes-256 esp-sha-hmac no compression
in use settings ={L2L, Tunnel, PFS Group 2, IKEv2, }
slot: 0, conn_id: 574, crypto-map: outside_map
sa timing: remaining key lifetime (kB/sec): (4100432/14844)
IV size: 16 bytes
replay detection support: Y
Anti replay bitmap:
0xFFFFFFFF 0xFFFFFFFF
outbound esp sas:
spi: 0x045D8340 (73237312)
SA State: active
transform: esp-aes-256 esp-sha-hmac no compression
in use settings ={L2L, Tunnel, PFS Group 2, IKEv2, }
slot: 0, conn_id: 574, crypto-map: outside_map
sa timing: remaining key lifetime (kB/sec): (4055040/14844)
IV size: 16 bytes
replay detection support: Y
Anti replay bitmap:
0x00000000 0x00000001